Every time we choose our commute, decide whether to go on a second date, or save money for a rainy day, we're making a prediction about the future. Yet we often fail to anticipate highly significant events, such as the financial crisis and ecological disasters, which have significant costs to society. In "The Signal and the Noise," Nate Silver, the New York Times political forecaster who accurately predicted the outcome of every state in the 2012 U.S. election, reveals how we can all develop better forecasting skills in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, and from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on a captivating tour of the world of high-stakes forecasting. He shows us how we can use information more intelligently amidst a data deluge and how we can make better predictions in our own lives.